The sun is rising over Old Havana, but the man standing at
the balcony rail is in the shade. He gazes out over the citys
crumbling rooftops but seems oblivious to the sun-washed beauty
of the harbour. His stare is blank, disengaged. He will give
only his first name, Rodolfo. He is the operator of the camera
obscura. One of many curiosities in the old port, the centuries-old
technology uses a system of mirrors to project a 360-degree
view of the exterior onto a bowl-shaped interior screen. Fidel
Castro reportedly had the camera installed to ensure that
he could see all parts of Havana from a protected vantage
point. Its now a tourist attraction.
I
was a teacher, says Rodolfo. I was earning less
than 20 convertible pesos [around $25] a month. Then, last
summer, I got on with Sherritt. With a bonus, my salary bumped
up to 50 convertible pesos a month. Unfortunately, his
prosperity was short lived. Earlier this year, the project
was cut. If you know anyone at Sherritt, please talk
to them, he says. Get them to start it back up.
The camera
obscura is now Rodolfos principal source of income.
With a monthly salary of 16 convertible pesos, he is one of
millions of Cubans who are barely hanging on. Last year, the
countrys agricultural sector was knocked out, due to
a particularly fierce hurricane season. That, and collapsing
markets for Cuban commodities primarily nickel, oil,
and gas plunged the island into its toughest economic
crisis in a generation. With deficits soaring and cash reserves
low, the government is delaying payments on profit-sharing
agreements with foreign investors, even going so far as to
cancel the one to which Rodolfo alludes. This has forced a
difficult balancing act on Ian Delaney Cubas
biggest outside investor, Rodolfos former employer,
and the man known on Bay Street as Fidel Castros favourite
capitalist.
Delaney
is ceo and chairman of Sherritt International, a multi-billion-dollar
commodities conglomerate based in Toronto. Eighteen years
ago, he made a deal with the Cuban Communist leader. Hed
get mining rights; Castro would get the foreign exchange he
needed to keep his economy going. Since then, Cubas
economy has been bolstered in no small part by Sherritts
investments. In addition to providing capital and jobs, Delaneys
company built power plants, and it now supplies the island
with 60 percent of its gasoline. As for Sherritt, in 1995
it booked assets of $677 million; the figure now tops $10.1
billion. Approximately one-third of that value derives from
Cuba, thanks to the companys preferred access to Cuban
resources, and the global commodities boom of the past decade.
Ian Delaney
is a tall man in his mid-sixties, with an ice-blue gaze that
belies his gentle demeanour. (His other Bay Street moniker
is the Smiling Barracuda a nod, supposedly, to his
genial yet aggressive style of deal-making.) He spends much
of his time on airplanes, but right now hes in his office
at the top of a nondescript building at Yonge and Summerhill
in Toronto, talking about how he first met Castro.
It was
1991. The Cuban leader was navigating the collapse of the
Soviet sugar market, which had been worth as much as $3 billion
annually to his country. The loss would precipitate Cubas
período especial a time when food
shortages meant the average Cuban lost twenty pounds. Some
survived on fried grapefruit skins; others reared pigs in
their bathrooms for protein.
In
good times, says Delaney, waving his hand dismissively,
everybodys your friend. Everybody makes big bets
in good times. Its when you are both about to careen
off the edge thats when you really get to see
the colour of the other guys eyes, eh? He laughs.
But we made a bet on [the Cubans] and they on us, and
its worked out really well. Until now, that is.
Currently, Cuba is buying as much as 80 percent of its food
abroad, which helps explain why the island spent $14.5 billion
(US) on imports in 2008. Unfortunately, in that same year
revenue from exports fell to just $3.8 billion (US) as a consequence
of the world economic downturn.
In 2006,
Fidel, who was suffering from poor health, began passing control
of the country to his younger brother, Raúl, known
to Cuba watchers as the more pragmatic of the two. Many thought
the new leader would respond to the financial crisis by further
opening up the countrys economy. Instead, he has clamped
down, imposing austerity measures over the spring and summer.
Cubans are now rationing basics such as electricity and fuel,
and this past summer Raúl slashed economic growth projections
for the rest of 2009 from 6 to 1.7 percent.
Essentially,
the Cubans are running out of cash, says Heather Berkman,
a political risk analyst with the New Yorkbased Eurasia
Group. The crunch may partially explain why earlier this year
the Cuban state oil company, Cupet, terminated its long-term
oil field production sharing contract with Sherritt and a
Montreal company, Pebercan. The Cuban government is compensating
both parties, but the lost contract effectively liquidated
Pebercan and wiped out a quarter of Sherritts net Cuban
oil production not to mention that it put Rodolfo and
many others like him out of work.
Dial back to 1991, when both Castro and Delaney faced even
bleaker circumstances. The collapse of the ussr had caused
that $3-billion hole in Cubas balance sheet. Few cars
could be found on the streets of Havana, because scarcely
anyone could afford fuel. Castro was getting desperate.
Delaney,
too, was in a tough spot. Together with his then partners, Eric
Sprott and Bruce Walter, he had just won control of Sherritt
in a proxy fight a victory that at the time appeared
hollow. The only reason Id been able to take it
over was because it was functionally insolvent, he explains.
We had a nickel refinery with nothing to refine.
Proxy
fights in which one shareholder convinces others to
throw out existing management gained notoriety during
the 80s, when takeover kings Ronald Perelman and Carl
Icahn prowled Wall Street, but they have always been relatively
rare in Canada, where most large publicly traded companies
are protected by entrenched interests or by regulation. Nevertheless,
Sherritts vulnerability made it a target, and Delaneys
1990 coup marked him as an assertive force in Canadian industry.
His first
challenge upon ascent was to reopen Sherritts Alberta
metals refinery, which had been languishing for two years
for want of a nickel feed. The best targets seemed to be Russia
and Cuba. He investigated Russia but says he couldnt
get comfortable there. Then, by happenstance, he was invited
to lunch with a group of Cubans who were touring Canada. Among
them was Raúl de la Nuez, formerly Cubas minister
of foreign trade. We were laughing through the whole
lunch, says Delaney. It was just rock and roll.
So in January of 1991, he went for a visit.
In Havana,
he met Marcos Portal Leon, then the minister of basic industries,
who arranged for him to inspect the nickel operations at Moa.
So we get on some old Russian jet, says Delaney,
who has trained as a pilot and asked if he could handle flying
duties. When his hosts said yes, he found himself navigating
a Russian-made flight deck covered in Cyrillic characters
he couldnt read. But they arrived without mishap, allowing
Delaney to inspect a mine that, prior to the 1959 Cuban Revolution,
had been the property of what is now the American mining company
Freeport-McMoRan. In state hands, it was running way below
capacity.
The party
then flew on to Varadero, where Delaney got a first-hand view
of the countrys nascent resort industry. But he hadnt
yet bagged the real prize: an audience with Castro. The opportunity
presented itself on his second day in Varadero, over lunch.
The group included a member of Castros council of ministers,
who asked Delaney how he took over Sherritt. Delaney started
explaining what a proxy fight was, but the man stared back
at him, uncomprehending. Delaney tried again. A shareholders
revolution, he said, this time getting his point across.
Who were the shareholders? the minister asked.
The institutions pension funds, financial institutions
responsible for the savings of workers, Delaney
replied.
He got
his audience with Castro soon after. They met at the Palace
of the Revolution, the former law courts in downtown Havana,
which had been erected by the pre-revolutionary dictator of
Cuba, Fulgencio Batista.
Castro
is a very skilful interviewer, Delaney says. Its
sort of a defence mechanism. He wants to control the conversation,
and the best way to do that is to seek your opinion.
Delaney, needless to say, is the kind of person who always
has an opinion. Later, once Id gotten to know
him, I realized there is no person of consequence on this
planet who has not had lunch or dinner with Fidel Castro.
What am I gonna tell him? So I started interviewing him.
The strategy
worked, leading to Delaneys first deal for Cuban mining
rights, in early 1991. Three years later, it bloomed into
an ambitious joint venture: a profit-sharing initiative between
Sherritt and Cuban governmentrun General Nickel. The
venture allowed for nickel and cobalt to be mined in Cuba,
processed at Sherritts Alberta refinery, and then sold
to international markets other than the United States. Cuba
also threw in the underperforming mine at Moa.
In 1995,
Delaney proposed a new deal to the Cubans: he wanted to be
designated a welcome investor. (He sold the idea
to Sherritts board with an analogy to nineteenth-century
Canadian parliamentarians, who offered liberal terms to European
investors to secure capital for the Canadian Pacific Railway.)
The Cuban government agreed and sent him a letter outlining
the terms. Delaney later included it in a shareholder prospectus,
as proof he had negotiated secure access to the resources
the company needed for the indefinite future.
At the
time, the United States was in the process of passing the
Cuban Liberty and Democratic Solidarity (or Helms-Burton)
Act, designed to stiffen the trade embargo against Cuba. Delaney
knew that anti-Castro forces there wouldnt approve of
Sherritts activities, so he decided to split the company
up, placing its Cuban operations under the auspices of Sherritt
International. Then he went to his directors and offered them
a choice. If they were comfortable with being on a US blacklist,
they were welcome to stay. If not, they could move to one
of Sherritts new divisions.
Some
of them had to leave; they had business interests in the United
States, Delaney says. Others just plain old didnt
want the aggro. But most of them stayed.
Sometime
during this period, he also paid a visit to Washington, DC,
where he informed Canadas embassy staff that he would
be making Fidel Castro a major business partner. He knew this
would not be popular, given the sensitivity of the subject
and Canadas complex relationship with the United States.
The trade attaché said, What are you going
to do? Delaney recalls, chuckling. I said,
Raise a boatload of capital, for the specific purpose
of flying in the face of Helms-Burton.
Sure enough,
in November 1996, eight months after Helms-Burton passed,
Delaney received a letter informing him that he was on a US
State Department blacklist. Along with all directors and senior
officers of Sherritt International and their families, Delaney
was denied entry into the United States.
The company
remained enough of a bête noire for the anti-Castro
lobby in the US over the next few years that in 1998, Lincoln
Diaz-Balart, a congressman from Florida, remarked that Delaney
has very willingly accepted his role as the most clearly identified
business figure in collaboration with the Castro dictatorship.
That is a very risky corporate policy, and I would not want
to be in Delaneys or Sherritts shoes once the
Cuban people are allowed to elect their representatives.
In fact, the consequences of the deal for Sherritt had long
since begun to take effect: before Delaney struck his deal
with Castro, more than half of the companys nickel had
been sold in the United States.
With its new corporate structure in place and its political
course charted, Sherritt International started the next phase
of its Cuban play: diversification. It began to invest in
the countrys fledgling oil and gas sector and built
up its utilities business, providing Cubans with a stable
source of electricity and solidifying Sherritts position
as one of the countrys best foreign friends. When
people click a light on at home, Delaney explains, we
want them to know that a Sherritt plant is delivering the
electricity. From a business perspective, the results
were spectacular. By 1997, output at Moa alone had increased
to 26,500 tonnes, more than twice its 1994 production. Sherritt
had lost $20 million on its metals business in 1993, but its
half of the Cuban joint venture earned $30 million on sales
of $147 million in 1996. In 1997, when most mining companies
were hit hard by low metal prices, its profit jumped by $4
million.
On a personal
level, Delaney began to enjoy his most favoured capitalist
status. He framed the letter from the US State Department,
which he still keeps in his Toronto office. (The downstairs
boardroom is decorated with cartoons lampooning the US trade
embargo.) He also started getting to know Fidel. We
hosted a cocktail party down there in one of those protocol
houses in Havana, he says. Castro arrived at 10:30
p.m. There must have been a hundred people there; he got around
to talk to every one of them. As host, Delaney accompanied
Castro, but by 2:30 in the morning he was ready to drop. My
back is killing me. My arches have collapsed. I desperately
need to go to the bathroom, and hes still firing along.
Eventually, Castro looked at his watch and realized the time.
So hes heading for the door. But on the way out,
he taps one of his senior ministers on the shoulder and says,
Hey, I feel pretty good. Lets go wake up some
ambassadors!
Fun with
Fidel aside, doing business in Cuba carries with it special
challenges and risks. For starters, there are ongoing questions
over who actually owns the property Sherritt has been using
on the island, and in particular the Moa operations. The Helms-Burton
Act states that the US trade embargo cannot be lifted until
property considered interfered with by the Cuban government
has reverted to its rightful owners. Whats more, it
authorizes American citizens to sue, in American courts, any
foreign national or company that purchased or made use of
property nationalized by Cuba after the revolution. Freeport-McMoRan
could therefore, in theory, pursue a claim over Sherritts
interests at Moa.
Its
also conceivable that Sherritt would benefit in the event
the embargo is lifted, since its history in the country would
give it a powerful comparative advantage and, barring punitive
action, it would regain access to the enormous US market for
its oil, gas, and nickel products. In April, when the Obama
administration announced it was lifting travel restrictions
on Cuban Americans going to the island, Sherritts stock
jumped 25 percent.
The companys
expansion and success in Cuba raise some important questions
about its relationship with the local workforce, however.
Those lucky enough to find jobs with Sherritt remain, by North
American standards, extremely poor. Rodolfos salary
of 50 convertible pesos, which he regarded as princely, works
out to about $60 a month. Discussing the companys policies
concerning workers in developing countries, Delaney says,
We have to be careful we dont induce inflation.
If the average wage is $2 a day, you cant just start
hiring people for $10 an hour. He also points to what
he calls Sherritts near-perfect record on labour issues,
not only in Cuba but worldwide. We have one of the best
labour management accords in North America, he says.
At the conclusion of present contracts, we will have
gone sixty-two years twenty-two on my watch
without ever losing a person-day because of a labour dispute.
Delaneys
claim appears quite correct across the companys global
divisions, but then labour disputes arent exactly encouraged
in Cuba. According to Daniel Wilkinson of Human Rights Watch,
the Castro regime has systematically repressed virtually all
forms of political dissent, denying its citizens such basic
human rights as freedom of speech, freedom of assembly, and
the right to organize in pursuit of better wages and working
conditions.
Asked about
Cubas rights record, Delaney poses a rhetorical question:
Do I like it? No. There is a lot wrong with Cuba, and
it should be doing better. That said, he continues, those
who criticize the regime should consider the positives as well.
In Cuba, nobody is outside the system. Everybody gets
some rudimentary degree of health care. Can you say that about
Mexico City? He pauses. We do business with all
these regimes, and there is a fundamental level of welfare in
Cuba that just isnt achieved anywhere else. In his
view, Cuba should not be held to a higher moral standard than
countries such as China and Pakistan, which he believes are
more deserving of censure.
To be
certain, engaging the Cuban government on rights issues isnt
easy, as then prime minister Jean Chrétien discovered
during a state visit in 1998. According to Rollercoaster,
a book by former diplomatic adviser James Bartleman, when
Chrétien met with Castro he presented the Cuban leader
with a list of four political prisoners he wanted to see released.
Castros reaction was to hiss at Chrétien that
he had never been so humiliated, and the dialogue
ended there.
Sherritt has become so closely identified with Cuba that some
financial analysts regard the companys fortunes as a
proxy for the countrys. By 2007, Sherritt had increased
its oil production in Cuba to 30,600 barrels per day, up nearly
4,000 barrels from the beginning of 1997. Net earnings (profit)
had also risen to $370 million, as the global commodities
bubble drove the price of nickel to $17 (US) a pound. The
companys stock soared to an all-time high of $17.48
(US) in 2007, before nickel crashed back down to around $7
(US) a pound, leading Sherritt to record a net loss of $290
million for 2008. In July of this year, it reported its half-year
earnings: owing to the cancellation of the contract between
Cupet (the Cuban state oil company), Sherritt, and Pebercan,
Sherritts net earnings for the second quarter had sunk
from $80 million the year before to $24 million, a decline
of almost 70 percent.
Officials
at the Cuban consulate in Ottawa refuse to comment on why
the contract was scrapped, and calls to managers at Pebercan,
which has since ceased all commercial activity, were not returned.
But news reports at the time indicated that the issue was
the Cuban governments failure to remit payments in a
timely fashion.
Delaney
characterizes Sherritts role in the deal like this:
Ten years ago, Sherritt and Pebercan began to do some
joint venture projects in Cuba. But the Cubans took Pebercan
out. We got sideswiped inadvertently. Though his company
lost some leases, In the fullness of time, he
says, I dont think Im going to care.
In February
2009, Cuba committed to paying Sherritt $60 million (US) in
compensation for the failed deal, which it has duly handed
over. It also paid more than $160 million (US) in previously
outstanding oil and gas receivables earlier this year, which
Sherritt subsequently invested in certificates of deposit.
Delaney remains confident in his Cuban investment, boasting,
We have an amazing book of assets right now in Cuba.
Weve still got twenty-five-year nickel assets, twelve-year
oil assets, and fifteen-year power assets.
Uncertainties
remain, however. Earlier this year, the Cuban government delayed
the visa process for Peter Kent, Canadas minister responsible
for the Americas, who had publicly announced that he was going
to broach the subject of human rights while on the island.
In return, the Canadian government similarly delayed the visa
for Cuban senior cabinet minister Rodrigo Malmierca, who was
coming to Toronto to attend a Sherritt International board
meeting. Ironically, this all took place around the same time
as Barack Obama began liberalizing his countrys Cuba
policy. Its like the hemisphere is going in one
direction and our PM, flying the flag of anti-Communism in
his little boat, is going in another, says Mark Entwistle,
former Canadian ambassador to Cuba. Canadas trade
policy in Cuba traditionally has been engagement but dialogue.
But now the PM has invented something different. (Kents
spokesperson did not respond to requests for comment.)
Given
the challenges involved in dealing with the Cubans, Sherritt
has been aggressively diversifying its international holdings.
Its biggest new project is a deal with Japans Sumitomo,
South Koreas Korea Resources, and Montreal-based snc-Lavalin
to develop a $4.5-billion mine at Ambatovy, in Madagascar.
The company expects it to yield 60,000 tonnes of nickel per
year, but it is being built in a country that, as Delaney
puts it, effectively has no internationally recognized government.
Sherritt struck its initial deal under a government that was
deposed in March, in a military-backed coup mounted by Andry
Rajoelina, a media owner and former disc jockey. In July,
the company disclosed that a French law firm engaged by Rajoelina
was reviewing Sherritts right to develop the mine. Though
the project is at risk, Delaney points out that the companys
total financial exposure is a mere $500 million. Of course,
this is provided no further cost overruns occur, on a project
that to date has been plagued by them.
The Ambatovy
project, like Sherritts Cuban holdings, has also provoked
criticism from activists, although for different reasons.
Madagascar has one of the worlds most diverse ecosystems,
hosting about 5 percent of the planets species, some
80 percent of them endemic to the island. The mine will tear
up over 1,300 hectares of land, much of it rainforest that
harbours nearly 1,400 species of vascular plants, sixteen
types of lemur, and 130 species of amphibians and reptiles.
Delaney
acknowledges the dilemma. [The Ambatovy mine] is smack
in the middle one of the most endangered rainforests in the
world, he says. Theres nothing I can do
about that; its where nature put the nickel. But
then again, he points out, the local population was burning
down the forest to survive. There are 20 million people
there, living on the edge. So what do you do? Develop or not
develop? The choice was to develop, conforming to standards
agreed upon by banks and other creditors, and enforced by
well, that remains in question.
Whatever the risks, and despite the concerns of environmentalists,
investors have responded positively to Delaneys strategy,
driving Sherritts stock up sharply from a low of around
$1.69 a share in March to $7.64 in early October. Mark Entwistle,
the old Cuba hand, believes Delaneys unique relationship
with the Castros and Cuba will allow the company to weather
the troubles there as well. Cuba is a long-haul market,
he says. To be successful, companies must believe they
are investing in a long-term relationship with an entire nation.
I put Sherritt in that boat. They will ride it through. Nickel
prices will go back up, and they will suddenly look brilliant
again just for being in Cuba.