Syrian
Downing of Israeli drone
Raises Specter of Syrian Scuds

DEBKAfile
Exclusive Military Report
Infosearch:
José Cadenas
Bureau Chief
Research Dept.
La Nueva Cuba
July 29, 2006
The Lebanon war raging between Israel and HIzballah took an alarming
detour Friday, July 28, when, according to DEBKAfiles military
sources, Syrian air defense batteries ambushed and shot down an
Israeli spy drone (picture) flying on the Lebanese side of the border
with Syria.
These drones
have been used to paint the weapons convoys heading
in from Syria, for the Israeli air force to hit them before they
can reach their destinations and replenish Hizballah stockpiles.
This time, the
Syrians knocked the drone out of the sky to allow a large consignment
of rocket launchers and truckloads of rockets to cross into Lebanon
undetected and safe from Israeli air attack.
The pilotless
craft crashed on the eastern slopes of Jebel Barukh. The IDF bulletin
evaded mention of the Syrian role and reported that a technical
fault had caused the crash and the fragments had been destroyed
from the air to prevent their falling into the hands of Hizballah.
While Israeli
leaders reiterate constantly that Israel has no intention of going
to war with Syria, Damascus openly supports Hizballah with massive
injections of weapons and other aid. It has already crossed several
red lines.
1. A Syrian
weapons system opened fire on an Israeli target for the first time.
2. The ambush
of the Israeli drone by Syrian air defenses was a calculated move
to clear the way for Syrian convoys loaded with rockets and rocket
launchers to roll into Lebanon free of constant bombardment by Israel
warplanes.
3. The drone
was shot down while flying in Lebanese air space. This was a signal
from Damascus to Israel that it would not scruple to target Israeli
military forces inside Lebanon when its interests were deemed to
be in jeopardy. Earlier this week, the Syrian information minister
Buthaina Chabane declared that if Israeli artillery came within
20 km of Damascus, Syria would fight.
Israels
official spokesmen and its military held back from answering her,
just as the Americans let Syria get away with its hostile interference
in the Iraq war.
Although Bashar
Assad has turned his country into a central hub and highway for
fighters, arms, explosives and cash to bolster the Iraq insurgency,
Syria has gone unpunished except for a single American air attack
on a busload of Hizballah fighters heading into Iraq.
DEBKAfiles
military sources report that some members of Israels high
command criticize this policy of restraint as encouraging the Syrians
to deepen their involvement in the conflict and bolstering Hizballahs
endurance for long-term combat. Other generals defend this policy,
arguing that while Syria placed its military on a state of high
preparedness from the start of the war, Syrian military doctrine
assigns its Scud missiles a defensive not an offensive role. Therefore,
an Israeli attack on a Syrian target might well trigger a Scud missile
assault on Israeli military or civilian locations.
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